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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+6.20vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.15+6.48vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.93+2.49vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.06+4.52vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.72+1.08vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.12+2.44vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+0.85vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.09+0.48vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-1.03vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.82-0.15vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.31+0.79vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.80-1.89vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.93-4.01vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.97-5.32vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.61-4.59vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-3.52vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.38-2.15vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.08-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.2Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.48Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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5.49Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.52Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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6.08Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.44Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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8.48Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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9.85Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.79Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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10.11University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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8.99University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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8.68Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.41Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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12.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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14.85Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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15.35Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Shawn Harvey | 12.7% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Morrell | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.1% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Emily Haig | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Mack Fox | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 6.5% |
| Thomas Harden | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Christian Filter | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 2.2% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 9.8% |
| Anthony Root | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 21.1% | 32.1% |
| Ben Arquit | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 20.1% | 40.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.