← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University3.49+6.25vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+6.13vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+5.41vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College2.82+5.65vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.72+1.23vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.93-0.58vs Predicted
-
7Boston College3.15+1.38vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University3.09+0.53vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont2.80+0.79vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University3.12-1.22vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University2.36+0.63vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College2.97-2.53vs Predicted
-
13Middlebury College1.08+2.38vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island2.93-4.96vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College3.47-7.97vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University1.38-1.13vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University2.61-6.31vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-5.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.25Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
-
8.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
-
8.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
-
9.65Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
-
6.23Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
-
5.42Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
-
8.38Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
-
8.53Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
9.79University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
-
8.78Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
-
11.63Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
-
9.47Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
-
15.38Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
-
9.04University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
-
7.03Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
-
14.87Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
-
10.69Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
-
12.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Emily Haig | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Mack Fox | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 12.6% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Harden | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 4.7% |
| Christian Filter | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Ben Arquit | 1.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 10.7% | 18.0% | 43.1% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Anthony Root | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 21.1% | 30.9% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 2.9% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.