← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.72+5.39vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.15+6.61vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.47+4.26vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+4.10vs Predicted
-
5Boston University3.49+2.02vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont2.80+3.86vs Predicted
-
7Yale University3.93-1.56vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island2.93+1.19vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University3.12-0.55vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.61+0.76vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-2.91vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College2.97-2.55vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University3.09-4.54vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College2.82-4.58vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-2.59vs Predicted
-
16Middlebury College1.08-0.46vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University2.31-5.12vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University1.38-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.39Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
-
8.61Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
-
7.26Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
-
8.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
-
7.02Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
-
9.86University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
-
5.44Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
-
9.19University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
-
8.45Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
-
10.76Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
-
8.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
-
9.45Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
-
8.46Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
9.42Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
-
12.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
-
15.54Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
-
11.88Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
-
14.67Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 9.8% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Mack Fox | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 8.6% | 11.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Harden | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.6% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Hibben | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 2.8% |
| Emily Haig | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Christian Filter | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Alexander Bowen | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 8.7% |
| Ben Arquit | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 19.1% | 43.2% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 7.4% |
| Anthony Root | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 22.2% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.