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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.49+6.23vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.72+4.35vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.93+2.55vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+4.08vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.97+4.06vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.61+4.63vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.93+2.31vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-0.10vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.15-0.70vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.09-1.13vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.47-3.74vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.80-1.83vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.31-1.39vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.82-4.59vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.12-6.52vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.38-1.14vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.08-1.41vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-5.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.23Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.35Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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5.55Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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9.06Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.63Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.31University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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7.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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8.3Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.87Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.26Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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10.17University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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11.61Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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9.41Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.48Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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14.86Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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15.59Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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12.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.3% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mack Fox | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Christian Filter | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Charlie Hibben | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Emily Haig | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Harden | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 5.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Anthony Root | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 20.3% | 30.6% |
| Ben Arquit | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 20.0% | 43.9% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.