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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+5.62vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.09+6.11vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.97+5.65vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.12+4.20vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.72+0.77vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.49+0.88vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+0.88vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.15-0.09vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.93-3.61vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.93-1.26vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.82-1.61vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.61-1.99vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.38+1.05vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-2.04vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.08-0.36vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.36-4.97vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-9.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.62Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.11Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.65Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.2Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.77Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.88Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.91Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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5.39Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.74University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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9.39Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.01Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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14.05Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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11.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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14.64Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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11.03Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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7.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Christian Filter | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.1% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mack Fox | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.9% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 3.2% |
| Anthony Root | 0.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 22.6% | 30.4% |
| Alexander Bowen | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 9.5% |
| Ben Arquit | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 9.1% | 19.6% | 43.6% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 2.6% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 5.6% |
| Emily Haig | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.