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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.06+6.62vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+5.46vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.61+6.41vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.35+2.28vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.84+3.28vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.11+5.23vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.43-0.95vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.42-1.97vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.01-1.49vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.75-1.14vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.98+0.77vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.36-1.44vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.45-3.30vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.49-4.58vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-7.44vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.74-3.40vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-3.31vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-0.37-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.62Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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9.41Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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6.28Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.28Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.23University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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6.05Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.03Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.51Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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8.86Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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11.77Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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10.56University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.7Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.42Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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7.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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12.6Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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13.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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16.98Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 2.6% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Matt Safford | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 3.6% |
| Parker Colantuono | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 1.5% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 17.5% | 4.8% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 15.1% | 26.5% | 8.8% |
| Lucie Rochat | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 9.3% | 76.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.