Race 6B

salt-pond-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Joey Richardson 17.4% 17.2% 17.4% 18.0% 13.6% 8.6% 5.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Christopher Chwalk 27.8% 23.4% 19.7% 12.4% 9.5% 4.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Buck Rathbun 13.6% 14.0% 16.0% 16.2% 16.6% 12.8% 7.9% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Jack Crager 22.8% 22.5% 19.4% 15.6% 10.2% 7.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Tiernan O'Kane 3.5% 5.5% 5.5% 7.0% 9.7% 13.5% 20.3% 20.9% 11.5% 2.8%
Tyler Winowiecki 2.7% 3.0% 5.1% 6.3% 8.8% 12.8% 16.9% 23.5% 17.0% 4.0%
Ella Towner 7.2% 7.9% 8.1% 12.0% 15.2% 16.5% 16.6% 11.6% 4.3% 0.7%
Evan Tofolo 3.5% 5.0% 6.7% 8.8% 11.9% 17.7% 18.0% 18.0% 8.5% 1.8%
Harry Boutemy 1.4% 0.9% 1.4% 2.1% 2.9% 4.0% 7.1% 13.1% 33.7% 33.4%
David Rush 0.2% 0.7% 0.9% 1.5% 1.6% 2.7% 4.0% 7.4% 23.6% 57.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.