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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.74+4.07vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.67+7.10vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida4.17+3.94vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.33+6.10vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+6.26vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.72+2.69vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.57+2.22vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.68+4.70vs Predicted
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9Harvard University4.50-3.43vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.73-1.15vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.93-3.10vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.44-1.83vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.87-1.13vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79-5.87vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.37-4.97vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.07-1.13vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.61-7.77vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.03-6.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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9.1Old Dominion University3.670.0%1st Place
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6.94University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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10.1U. S. Naval Academy3.330.0%1st Place
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11.26St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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8.69Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.22Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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12.7University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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5.57Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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8.85University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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7.9College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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10.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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11.87University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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8.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.1%1st Place
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10.03Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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14.87Salve Regina University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.23Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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11.3Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnard | 14.3% | 16.1% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Zachary Marks | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Alejandro Ravelo | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% |
| John Wallace | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 7.8% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Max Nickbarg | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Michael Russom | 2.8% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 15.0% | 15.1% |
| Tedd Himler | 11.7% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olin Davis | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Eric Horrocks | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Ryan Hughes | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.1% |
| Sam Padnos | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| William Hutchings | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| Robert Keller | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 38.4% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Ian Towill | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.