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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.84+7.43vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.75+6.85vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.43+3.23vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+3.26vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.45+4.74vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+1.70vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.42-0.87vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.61+1.12vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.35-2.73vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.49-0.07vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.74+1.57vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.36-1.41vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.11-2.05vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.06-6.76vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.98-3.42vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-2.31vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.01-9.25vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-0.37-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.43Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.85Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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6.23Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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9.74Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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6.13Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.12Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.27Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.93Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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12.57Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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10.59University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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10.95University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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7.24Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.58Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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13.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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7.75Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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16.96Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Matt Safford | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 0.3% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 5.6% |
| Parker Colantuono | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 1.7% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 2.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 2.3% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 25.8% | 9.4% |
| Jack DeNatale | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lucie Rochat | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 9.6% | 75.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.