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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.43+5.25vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.42+4.17vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.45+7.11vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+3.17vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.75+3.59vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.06+1.40vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.61+2.16vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.35-1.70vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.84-0.76vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.49-0.01vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.36-0.65vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-4.02vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.11-2.01vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.01-6.65vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.98-3.35vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.74-3.39vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-3.29vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-0.37-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.17Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.11Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.59Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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7.4Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.16Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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6.3Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.24Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.99Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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10.35University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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7.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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10.99University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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7.35Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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11.65Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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12.61Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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13.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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16.98Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Matt Safford | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.9% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 0.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 1.6% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 2.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 2.7% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 5.0% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 27.2% | 8.9% |
| Lucie Rochat | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 8.2% | 77.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.