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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.06+6.57vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.01+5.72vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.84+5.50vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.45+5.56vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.42+1.08vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+1.62vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.75+1.59vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.43-2.05vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.98+2.53vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.11+1.38vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.49-1.23vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-4.44vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.72-0.69vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.35-7.90vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.71-6.38vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.36-5.82vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-1.96vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-0.37-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.72Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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8.5Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.56Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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6.08Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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8.59Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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5.95Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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11.53Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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11.38University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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9.77Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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7.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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12.31Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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6.1Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.62Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.18University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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15.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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16.92Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Matt Safford | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 8.1% | 1.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 1.3% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matt Hersey | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 4.5% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.1% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Parker Colantuono | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 13.0% | 36.6% | 18.2% |
| Lucie Rochat | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 13.2% | 71.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.