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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.71+7.91vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.06+5.57vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.43+3.19vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.35+2.23vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.84+3.12vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.49+3.64vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.42-0.97vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.75+0.54vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-1.48vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.01-2.15vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.45-1.09vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-4.50vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.11-2.08vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.36-4.14vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-0.02vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.72-3.43vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.98-5.24vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-0.37-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.91Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.57Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.19Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.23Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.12Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.64Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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6.03Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.54Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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7.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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7.85Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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9.91Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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10.92University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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9.86University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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14.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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12.57Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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11.76Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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16.88Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Fasolo | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Grant Gridley | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.3% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Matt Safford | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 8.1% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 1.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 35.2% | 17.5% |
| Matt Hersey | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 4.6% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 2.1% |
| Lucie Rochat | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 4.7% | 12.9% | 70.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.