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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+6.82vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.49+7.90vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+4.39vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.75+4.49vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.35+1.33vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.71+2.76vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.84+1.22vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.43-2.06vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.01-1.48vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.42-3.71vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.06-3.51vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.98-0.14vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.45-3.39vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.36-4.15vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.11-3.96vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.74-3.47vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-1.95vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-0.37-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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9.9Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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7.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.49Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.33Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.76Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.22Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.94Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.52Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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6.29Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.49Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.86Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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9.61Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.85University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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11.04University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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12.53Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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15.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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16.91Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Grant Gridley | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 0.2% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matt Safford | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.1% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 9.1% | 2.9% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 1.4% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 4.3% |
| Stephen Poirier | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 37.1% | 18.5% |
| Lucie Rochat | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 14.3% | 70.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.