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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.42+5.26vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.43+4.08vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+4.26vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.11+6.87vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.35+1.25vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.74+6.44vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.13+4.06vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.36+2.02vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-0.63vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.71-1.06vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.75-2.32vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.45-1.93vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.01-5.60vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.06-6.93vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-1.50vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.98-4.33vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.84-8.68vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-0.14-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.08Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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10.87University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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6.25Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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12.44Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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11.06Roger Williams University2.130.0%1st Place
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10.02University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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8.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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8.94Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.68Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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10.07Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.4Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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7.07Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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13.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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11.67Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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8.32Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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16.75Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 2.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 6.9% |
| Riley Read | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 2.5% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Stephen Duncan | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Alex Fasolo | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Matt Safford | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 1.2% |
| Jack DeNatale | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 24.8% | 9.4% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 3.8% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 11.2% | 70.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.