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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.42+5.09vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+8.24vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.84+5.28vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.35+2.10vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.06+2.18vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+2.32vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-0.02vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.75+0.34vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.71-0.48vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.59-0.67vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.74+1.45vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.13-0.75vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.45-3.52vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.43-8.35vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-1.58vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.11-4.96vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.98-5.39vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-0.14-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.24University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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8.28Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.1Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.18Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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6.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.34Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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8.52Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.33Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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12.45Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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11.25Roger Williams University2.130.0%1st Place
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9.48Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.65Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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13.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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11.04University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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11.61Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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16.73Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Stephen Duncan | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 8.3% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Matt Safford | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Walden | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 6.2% |
| Riley Read | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 2.7% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.1% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 23.6% | 9.5% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 3.2% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 2.6% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 9.6% | 72.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.