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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Buck Rathbun 14.1% 14.7% 16.4% 17.1% 16.6% 10.9% 5.9% 3.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Joey Richardson 16.7% 15.6% 18.6% 16.6% 14.1% 11.0% 4.8% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Jack Crager 25.0% 22.2% 20.1% 14.2% 10.6% 5.9% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Christopher Chwalk 25.8% 22.9% 18.2% 15.0% 10.1% 5.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Tiernan O'Kane 3.9% 4.5% 5.1% 8.2% 10.5% 14.6% 19.4% 19.8% 11.3% 2.5%
Evan Tofolo 4.2% 5.5% 6.3% 8.4% 11.8% 15.7% 19.2% 17.2% 9.1% 2.5%
Ella Towner 6.3% 8.4% 9.0% 10.8% 15.1% 15.8% 17.4% 11.9% 4.4% 0.8%
Tyler Winowiecki 2.8% 4.0% 4.5% 6.5% 7.7% 13.2% 18.8% 24.3% 14.2% 4.0%
Harry Boutemy 0.9% 1.2% 1.1% 2.1% 1.7% 4.2% 6.9% 12.1% 36.8% 33.1%
David Rush 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 1.2% 1.8% 2.9% 4.2% 8.2% 22.7% 57.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.