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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.44+8.43vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.33+7.90vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79+5.06vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+6.80vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.72+3.03vs Predicted
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6Harvard University4.50-0.81vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.57+1.68vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.37+1.47vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.07+5.38vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida4.17-3.51vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.68+1.41vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.73-3.60vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.61-4.60vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.87-2.78vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.93-7.84vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.67-7.64vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.03-5.96vs Predicted
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18University of Miami2.28-4.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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9.9U. S. Naval Academy3.330.0%1st Place
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8.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.1%1st Place
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10.8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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8.03Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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5.19Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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8.68Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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9.47Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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14.38Salve Regina University2.070.0%1st Place
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6.49University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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12.41University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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8.4University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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8.4Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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11.22University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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7.16College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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8.36Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.04Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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13.59University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Horrocks | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Alejandro Ravelo | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Sam Padnos | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| John Wallace | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 5.3% |
| Oliver Toole | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Tedd Himler | 14.8% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Nickbarg | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| William Hutchings | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Robert Keller | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 16.1% | 32.1% |
| Zachary Marks | 11.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Michael Russom | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 13.0% |
| Olin Davis | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Ian Towill | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 5.7% |
| Ben Jassin | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 15.9% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.