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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.64+2.86vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78+1.63vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.18-0.10vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.30-1.12vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-0.49+1.23vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.510.00vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.05-1.71vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-0.93-1.38vs Predicted
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9McGill University-2.14-0.45vs Predicted
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10Bates College-2.64-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Boston University0.6414.1%1st Place
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3.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.7816.7%1st Place
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2.9Roger Williams University1.1825.0%1st Place
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2.88University of Rhode Island1.3025.8%1st Place
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6.23University of Minnesota-0.493.9%1st Place
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6.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.514.2%1st Place
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5.29University of Vermont-0.056.3%1st Place
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6.62Salve Regina University-0.932.8%1st Place
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8.55McGill University-2.140.9%1st Place
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9.04Bates College-2.640.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Buck Rathbun | 14.1% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Joey Richardson | 16.7% | 15.6% | 18.6% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Jack Crager | 25.0% | 22.2% | 20.1% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Christopher Chwalk | 25.8% | 22.9% | 18.2% | 15.0% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Tiernan O'Kane | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 19.4% | 19.8% | 11.3% | 2.5% |
Evan Tofolo | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 19.2% | 17.2% | 9.1% | 2.5% |
Ella Towner | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 11.9% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
Tyler Winowiecki | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 13.2% | 18.8% | 24.3% | 14.2% | 4.0% |
Harry Boutemy | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 36.8% | 33.1% |
David Rush | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 22.7% | 57.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.