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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.42+4.52vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+4.66vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+4.96vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.43+1.72vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.35+0.78vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.84+1.94vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+2.62vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.13+2.26vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.06-1.89vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.98+0.92vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.75-2.67vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.45-2.77vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.71-4.64vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.59-5.07vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-2.21vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.74-4.15vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-0.14-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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7.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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5.72Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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5.78Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.94Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.62University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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10.26Roger Williams University2.130.0%1st Place
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7.11Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.92Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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8.33Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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9.23Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.36Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.93Boston College2.590.0%1st Place
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12.79Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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11.85Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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16.03Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 13.0% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Duncan | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.4% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Riley Read | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 2.2% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 3.5% |
| Matt Safford | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Walden | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 15.5% | 26.0% | 10.6% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 6.2% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 11.5% | 71.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.