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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University1.18+0.89vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.23-0.03vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-1.37+1.30vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.39-1.10vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-0.34-2.19vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-1.28-2.79vs Predicted
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9Hope College-1.16-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89Grand Valley State University1.180.5%1st Place
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2.97Michigan State University0.230.2%1st Place
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5.3Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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3.9Michigan State University-0.390.1%1st Place
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3.81Northern Michigan University-0.340.1%1st Place
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5.21Michigan Technological University-1.280.0%1st Place
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4.93Hope College-1.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Walz | 50.5% | 24.1% | 16.0% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Luke Koerschner | 17.3% | 27.6% | 20.2% | 18.3% | 10.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Joshua Spano | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 16.1% | 23.4% | 32.8% |
| Timothy Dickey | 9.5% | 13.5% | 18.9% | 20.1% | 18.1% | 13.8% | 6.1% |
| Henry Westlind | 8.9% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 21.9% | 16.4% | 11.5% | 6.4% |
| Patrick Sawyer | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 17.9% | 23.0% | 29.5% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 5.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 19.4% | 23.2% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.