← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Grand Valley State University1.18+0.87vs Predicted
-
2Michigan State University0.23+0.95vs Predicted
-
3Michigan State University-0.39+0.93vs Predicted
-
5Northern Michigan University-0.34-1.22vs Predicted
-
6Western Michigan University-1.37-0.62vs Predicted
-
7Hope College-1.16-2.00vs Predicted
-
9Michigan Technological University-1.28-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.87Grand Valley State University1.180.5%1st Place
-
2.95Michigan State University0.230.2%1st Place
-
3.93Michigan State University-0.390.1%1st Place
-
3.78Northern Michigan University-0.340.1%1st Place
-
5.38Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
-
5.0Hope College-1.160.0%1st Place
-
5.09Michigan Technological University-1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Walz | 50.5% | 26.1% | 13.7% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Luke Koerschner | 17.3% | 27.4% | 22.4% | 16.1% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Timothy Dickey | 9.0% | 13.3% | 18.4% | 21.3% | 18.2% | 12.8% | 7.0% |
| Henry Westlind | 10.2% | 15.2% | 19.9% | 18.8% | 18.2% | 12.0% | 5.7% |
| Joshua Spano | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 22.0% | 35.2% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 19.1% | 22.1% | 24.1% |
| Patrick Sawyer | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 16.3% | 25.6% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.