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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University-0.39+3.53vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University-1.37+4.19vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.49+0.15vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University1.18-1.78vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.16+0.91vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-0.34-1.55vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-1.28-0.93vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University0.23-5.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53Michigan State University-0.390.1%1st Place
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6.19Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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3.15University of Michigan0.490.2%1st Place
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2.22Grand Valley State University1.180.4%1st Place
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5.91Hope College-1.160.0%1st Place
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4.45Northern Michigan University-0.340.1%1st Place
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6.07Michigan Technological University-1.280.0%1st Place
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3.48Michigan State University0.230.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Dickey | 8.0% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 19.9% | 16.2% | 10.5% | 6.8% |
| Joshua Spano | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 22.9% | 33.2% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 20.5% | 19.5% | 20.0% | 18.0% | 12.5% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Liam Walz | 37.4% | 29.6% | 16.5% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 3.0% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 17.5% | 23.5% | 24.1% |
| Henry Westlind | 8.3% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 19.0% | 15.8% | 11.2% | 4.8% |
| Patrick Sawyer | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 16.2% | 23.5% | 29.6% |
| Luke Koerschner | 15.1% | 18.5% | 20.8% | 17.5% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.