← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Grand Valley State University1.18+0.81vs Predicted
-
2Michigan State University-0.39+1.80vs Predicted
-
3Northern Michigan University-0.34+0.79vs Predicted
-
4Michigan Technological University-1.28+1.22vs Predicted
-
6Western Michigan University-1.37-0.69vs Predicted
-
7Michigan State University0.23-4.00vs Predicted
-
9Hope College-1.32-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.81Grand Valley State University1.180.5%1st Place
-
3.8Michigan State University-0.390.1%1st Place
-
3.79Northern Michigan University-0.340.1%1st Place
-
5.22Michigan Technological University-1.280.0%1st Place
-
5.31Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
-
3.0Michigan State University0.230.2%1st Place
-
5.07Hope College-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Walz | 52.5% | 25.6% | 13.6% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Dickey | 10.0% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 21.8% | 19.2% | 11.1% | 5.5% |
| Henry Westlind | 9.0% | 16.2% | 19.6% | 21.2% | 16.6% | 10.9% | 6.5% |
| Patrick Sawyer | 2.8% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 17.5% | 24.9% | 27.9% |
| Joshua Spano | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 22.5% | 32.6% |
| Luke Koerschner | 17.6% | 24.6% | 23.4% | 16.6% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Nina McAlvey | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 24.4% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.