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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University1.18+0.99vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-0.39+2.23vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.80+1.95vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University-0.34-0.81vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-1.28-1.26vs Predicted
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8Hope College-1.32-2.19vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-1.37-3.09vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University0.23-6.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99Grand Valley State University1.180.4%1st Place
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4.23Michigan State University-0.390.1%1st Place
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4.95Ohio State University-0.800.1%1st Place
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4.19Northern Michigan University-0.340.1%1st Place
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5.74Michigan Technological University-1.280.0%1st Place
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5.81Hope College-1.320.0%1st Place
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5.91Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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3.17Michigan State University0.230.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Walz | 44.4% | 30.4% | 13.1% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Timothy Dickey | 10.2% | 11.1% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 4.0% |
| natalie dugan | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 16.5% | 11.3% |
| Henry Westlind | 9.3% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 8.0% | 4.6% |
| Patrick Sawyer | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 17.3% | 21.6% | 22.8% |
| Nina McAlvey | 4.5% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 18.6% | 26.9% |
| Joshua Spano | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 21.3% | 29.0% |
| Luke Koerschner | 17.9% | 22.9% | 21.1% | 16.2% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.