← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan0.00+1.41vs Predicted
-
2Grand Valley State University-1.02+1.74vs Predicted
-
3Michigan State University0.82-1.33vs Predicted
-
4Hope College-2.74+2.18vs Predicted
-
5Michigan State University-1.80-0.18vs Predicted
-
6Northern Michigan University-1.50-1.63vs Predicted
-
7Western Michigan University-2.89-0.61vs Predicted
-
8Michigan Technological University-2.99-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.41University of Michigan0.000.2%1st Place
-
3.74Grand Valley State University-1.020.1%1st Place
-
1.67Michigan State University0.820.5%1st Place
-
6.18Hope College-2.740.0%1st Place
-
4.82Michigan State University-1.800.0%1st Place
-
4.37Northern Michigan University-1.500.1%1st Place
-
6.39Western Michigan University-2.890.0%1st Place
-
6.43Michigan Technological University-2.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ephraim | 24.6% | 34.9% | 23.3% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zakary Colvin | 8.7% | 12.9% | 23.7% | 24.8% | 15.6% | 10.0% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Noah Wolters | 54.6% | 29.7% | 11.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Burns | 0.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 13.8% | 19.2% | 24.2% | 26.7% |
| Hosni Berker | 3.6% | 6.0% | 12.5% | 18.9% | 22.0% | 19.9% | 12.8% | 4.3% |
| Jon Seaborg | 5.3% | 8.8% | 16.0% | 22.8% | 21.4% | 14.9% | 8.2% | 2.6% |
| Matthew Remington | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 27.3% | 32.0% |
| Bryce Hudson | 0.7% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 18.4% | 23.8% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.