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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northern Michigan University-1.50+3.37vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.82-0.32vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.00-0.58vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-1.02-0.27vs Predicted
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6Hope College-2.74+0.18vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-2.89-0.63vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-2.99-1.50vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-1.80-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.37Northern Michigan University-1.500.0%1st Place
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1.68Michigan State University0.820.5%1st Place
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2.42University of Michigan0.000.2%1st Place
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3.73Grand Valley State University-1.020.1%1st Place
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6.18Hope College-2.740.0%1st Place
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6.37Western Michigan University-2.890.0%1st Place
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6.5Michigan Technological University-2.990.0%1st Place
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4.75Michigan State University-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Seaborg | 4.6% | 9.2% | 16.8% | 22.5% | 21.7% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 1.8% |
| Noah Wolters | 54.2% | 28.9% | 12.5% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 23.8% | 35.2% | 24.2% | 10.8% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Zakary Colvin | 8.5% | 14.2% | 21.6% | 24.8% | 17.9% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Conor Burns | 1.8% | 1.6% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 20.9% | 26.0% | 24.9% |
| Matthew Remington | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 11.9% | 18.0% | 25.6% | 31.1% |
| Bryce Hudson | 1.3% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 17.6% | 24.3% | 36.7% |
| Hosni Berker | 4.5% | 6.4% | 12.2% | 18.5% | 23.4% | 19.6% | 10.9% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.