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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.82+0.67vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.00+0.44vs Predicted
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3Hope College-2.74+3.15vs Predicted
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4Northern Michigan University-1.50+0.40vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.80-0.17vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-1.02-2.30vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-2.99-1.48vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-2.89-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.67Michigan State University0.820.6%1st Place
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2.44University of Michigan0.000.2%1st Place
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6.15Hope College-2.740.0%1st Place
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4.4Northern Michigan University-1.500.1%1st Place
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4.83Michigan State University-1.800.0%1st Place
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3.7Grand Valley State University-1.020.1%1st Place
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6.52Michigan Technological University-2.990.0%1st Place
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6.3Western Michigan University-2.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Wolters | 55.2% | 28.1% | 12.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 23.1% | 35.6% | 22.6% | 12.7% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Conor Burns | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 18.3% | 25.3% | 26.3% |
| Jon Seaborg | 5.3% | 9.1% | 14.9% | 22.9% | 20.9% | 15.9% | 8.1% | 2.9% |
| Hosni Berker | 4.4% | 5.6% | 11.8% | 18.3% | 23.0% | 20.1% | 11.6% | 5.2% |
| Zakary Colvin | 7.8% | 14.1% | 24.8% | 24.0% | 16.5% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Bryce Hudson | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 15.1% | 26.3% | 36.3% |
| Matthew Remington | 0.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 11.6% | 20.4% | 25.7% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.