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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College-0.79+2.60vs Predicted
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2American University-0.61+1.22vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+1.50vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.97+0.04vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-1.62+0.02vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.29-1.53vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.52-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6Washington College-0.7917.1%1st Place
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3.22American University-0.6122.4%1st Place
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4.5SUNY Stony Brook-0.609.9%1st Place
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4.04Princeton University-0.9712.4%1st Place
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5.02Princeton University-1.626.6%1st Place
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4.47University of Delaware-1.2910.9%1st Place
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3.15SUNY Maritime College-0.5220.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imogene Nuss | 17.1% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 7.0% |
| Brooke Lorson | 22.4% | 19.1% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 4.5% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 20.1% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 12.4% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 12.2% |
| Kate Feiner | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 18.7% | 32.1% |
| Seton Dill | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 18.1% | 20.2% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 20.6% | 21.7% | 18.2% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.