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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.82+0.67vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.00+0.45vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-1.02+0.69vs Predicted
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4Northern Michigan University-1.50+0.40vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.80-0.18vs Predicted
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6Hope College-2.74+0.15vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-2.89-0.59vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University-2.99-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.67Michigan State University0.820.6%1st Place
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2.45University of Michigan0.000.2%1st Place
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3.69Grand Valley State University-1.020.1%1st Place
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4.4Northern Michigan University-1.500.1%1st Place
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4.82Michigan State University-1.800.0%1st Place
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6.15Hope College-2.740.0%1st Place
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6.41Western Michigan University-2.890.0%1st Place
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6.42Michigan Technological University-2.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Wolters | 55.7% | 27.7% | 11.8% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 22.4% | 35.6% | 24.2% | 12.0% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zakary Colvin | 8.9% | 13.9% | 24.7% | 22.1% | 17.7% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Jon Seaborg | 5.2% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 23.3% | 20.1% | 15.5% | 9.2% | 2.7% |
| Hosni Berker | 4.2% | 5.4% | 12.6% | 18.6% | 22.7% | 19.3% | 12.6% | 4.6% |
| Conor Burns | 1.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 14.1% | 20.3% | 23.9% | 25.7% |
| Matthew Remington | 1.5% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 16.3% | 25.5% | 33.5% |
| Bryce Hudson | 0.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 18.8% | 25.4% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.