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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.00+1.87vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.39+0.42vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-1.02+1.19vs Predicted
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4Northern Michigan University-1.50+0.84vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.95+0.34vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University0.82-3.97vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-2.99-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87University of Michigan0.000.2%1st Place
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2.42Michigan State University0.390.3%1st Place
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4.19Grand Valley State University-1.020.1%1st Place
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4.84Northern Michigan University-1.500.0%1st Place
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5.34Hope College-1.950.0%1st Place
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2.03Michigan State University0.820.4%1st Place
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6.3Michigan Technological University-2.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ephraim | 19.1% | 22.1% | 27.7% | 18.5% | 9.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Ella Wynsma | 26.9% | 30.3% | 24.8% | 11.6% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Zakary Colvin | 7.0% | 7.3% | 13.2% | 28.7% | 23.9% | 15.5% | 4.4% |
| Jon Seaborg | 3.2% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 17.4% | 26.7% | 27.7% | 10.4% |
| Andrew Barce | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 11.2% | 22.9% | 35.5% | 19.7% |
| Noah Wolters | 40.7% | 30.3% | 17.8% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Hudson | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 9.1% | 17.0% | 64.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.