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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.82+1.01vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.00+1.02vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.39-0.52vs Predicted
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4Hope College-1.95+1.71vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University-1.50+0.10vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-1.02-1.63vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-2.41-0.65vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-2.99-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Michigan State University0.820.4%1st Place
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3.02University of Michigan0.000.2%1st Place
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2.48Michigan State University0.390.3%1st Place
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5.71Hope College-1.950.0%1st Place
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5.1Northern Michigan University-1.500.0%1st Place
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4.37Grand Valley State University-1.020.1%1st Place
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6.35Ohio State University-2.410.0%1st Place
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6.95Michigan Technological University-2.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Wolters | 43.2% | 27.7% | 18.0% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 16.7% | 21.5% | 26.4% | 19.8% | 10.6% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Wynsma | 25.9% | 29.7% | 23.2% | 14.5% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Barce | 1.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 19.3% | 24.0% | 22.3% | 13.9% |
| Jon Seaborg | 4.1% | 4.3% | 8.7% | 15.5% | 22.2% | 23.1% | 16.8% | 5.3% |
| Zakary Colvin | 6.3% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 23.8% | 23.0% | 15.0% | 8.3% | 1.9% |
| Emily Wise | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 18.7% | 28.6% | 28.5% |
| Bryce Hudson | 0.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 13.1% | 22.6% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.