Race 1A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gabby Rizika 16.4% 14.1% 12.9% 13.7% 11.4% 11.2% 7.9% 6.1% 3.2% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Jessica Bennett 7.1% 10.5% 9.0% 9.2% 11.5% 9.2% 11.4% 11.5% 11.3% 7.8% 1.4% 0.1%
Katherine Cox 11.8% 10.0% 9.9% 10.4% 11.2% 9.7% 11.4% 11.1% 8.9% 5.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Ava Esquier 10.5% 12.6% 12.8% 9.9% 11.0% 13.0% 9.1% 8.7% 7.1% 4.2% 1.1% 0.0%
Aitana Mendiguren 11.3% 10.3% 11.3% 10.7% 11.2% 11.2% 9.5% 9.1% 6.5% 7.8% 1.0% 0.1%
Anna Patterson 4.0% 3.5% 4.7% 7.1% 4.5% 6.4% 8.4% 11.0% 17.1% 23.4% 9.3% 0.6%
Marley Mais 10.2% 10.2% 10.4% 11.0% 10.4% 9.9% 12.7% 9.7% 8.5% 5.4% 1.6% 0.0%
Bridget Groble 8.4% 7.4% 8.1% 7.9% 8.8% 9.3% 10.4% 11.3% 12.9% 12.4% 3.1% 0.0%
Payton Canavan 3.2% 5.2% 4.0% 7.0% 7.4% 7.7% 10.1% 12.7% 16.3% 21.1% 5.2% 0.1%
Olivia de Olazarra 16.2% 15.4% 16.3% 12.3% 11.0% 10.6% 6.9% 5.9% 4.0% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Erin Splaine 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.9% 0.8% 1.2% 13.7% 81.4%
Elizabeth Harrington 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 1.9% 2.0% 3.4% 7.6% 62.6% 17.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.