Race 2A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gabby Rizika 15.4% 13.3% 14.1% 15.3% 11.2% 10.1% 7.7% 7.1% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Katherine Cox 8.7% 11.6% 10.9% 11.0% 11.8% 11.3% 9.7% 10.6% 9.1% 4.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Marley Mais 10.2% 8.8% 10.0% 10.1% 10.5% 10.0% 12.4% 10.0% 11.1% 6.1% 0.8% 0.0%
Ava Esquier 9.6% 12.4% 12.9% 10.1% 11.8% 11.9% 10.4% 8.2% 7.7% 4.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Bridget Groble 6.8% 7.6% 6.4% 8.2% 9.1% 11.2% 10.2% 12.4% 13.2% 12.7% 2.1% 0.1%
Anna Patterson 4.0% 3.4% 4.9% 6.6% 5.6% 6.2% 8.9% 10.5% 15.6% 25.1% 8.7% 0.5%
Jessica Bennett 8.5% 9.6% 8.6% 10.8% 9.7% 10.7% 11.0% 11.5% 8.8% 9.0% 1.8% 0.0%
Aitana Mendiguren 12.2% 11.3% 11.3% 10.0% 10.9% 9.8% 10.4% 10.3% 7.6% 5.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Olivia de Olazarra 18.0% 17.6% 13.8% 12.2% 11.2% 10.2% 8.6% 4.1% 3.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Payton Canavan 5.5% 3.8% 5.9% 5.1% 7.3% 7.4% 8.7% 12.4% 16.0% 20.2% 7.5% 0.2%
Elizabeth Harrington 0.9% 0.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.6% 1.1% 1.6% 2.0% 3.4% 8.7% 60.1% 19.7%
Erin Splaine 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 1.6% 15.7% 79.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.