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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+3.24vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+3.20vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.25+2.46vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+1.77vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.91+1.25vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.44-1.03vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.35-1.91vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.80-3.92vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.44-1.73vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.35-2.55vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia-0.55-0.42vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University-1.93-0.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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5.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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5.46Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
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5.77St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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6.25Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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4.97University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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5.09George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.08U. S. Naval Academy2.800.2%1st Place
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7.27Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
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7.45Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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10.58University of Virginia-0.550.0%1st Place
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11.63Syracuse University-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Rizika | 15.6% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 9.3% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Marley Mais | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Ava Esquier | 11.3% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 18.8% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Payton Canavan | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 20.5% | 6.8% | 0.2% |
| Anna Patterson | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 24.1% | 8.1% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Harrington | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 8.1% | 60.8% | 19.7% |
| Erin Splaine | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 15.7% | 79.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.