Race 4A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Bridget Groble 7.0% 5.7% 7.5% 7.4% 9.6% 9.7% 10.8% 13.4% 12.9% 12.9% 3.0% 0.1%
Ava Esquier 10.3% 12.7% 12.5% 10.8% 12.5% 10.9% 8.7% 9.8% 7.0% 4.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Katherine Cox 11.3% 10.4% 10.4% 10.8% 9.5% 11.0% 11.4% 11.5% 8.2% 5.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Jessica Bennett 6.7% 9.3% 10.8% 9.7% 9.8% 11.1% 10.9% 10.7% 10.6% 8.4% 1.9% 0.1%
Aitana Mendiguren 11.2% 10.6% 10.8% 11.6% 10.2% 11.8% 9.9% 8.7% 8.1% 6.1% 1.0% 0.0%
Marley Mais 10.4% 8.8% 9.9% 11.0% 10.1% 12.0% 10.4% 10.2% 9.7% 6.3% 1.1% 0.1%
Olivia de Olazarra 17.2% 17.5% 14.1% 12.9% 10.1% 9.0% 7.5% 6.5% 3.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Payton Canavan 4.4% 6.0% 4.3% 5.6% 8.1% 6.4% 10.5% 9.8% 15.3% 21.0% 8.2% 0.4%
Anna Patterson 3.4% 3.8% 4.1% 6.4% 7.5% 7.1% 9.5% 11.2% 15.7% 23.1% 8.0% 0.2%
Gabby Rizika 16.9% 14.6% 14.4% 12.8% 11.4% 10.0% 8.6% 5.4% 4.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Elizabeth Harrington 0.9% 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 1.1% 0.9% 1.6% 2.1% 3.1% 8.3% 60.5% 19.5%
Erin Splaine 0.3% 0.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.7% 1.2% 2.4% 14.6% 79.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.