Race 5A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-championships

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gabby Rizika 16.9% 12.9% 14.4% 12.6% 11.8% 11.4% 7.5% 6.3% 4.0% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Ava Esquier 11.5% 12.5% 12.4% 10.1% 10.0% 10.5% 12.0% 9.0% 6.8% 4.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Olivia de Olazarra 17.6% 14.0% 15.1% 12.8% 11.9% 9.5% 8.3% 5.7% 3.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Elizabeth Harrington 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.8% 1.0% 1.7% 1.0% 2.5% 4.4% 9.1% 59.4% 18.9%
Bridget Groble 6.2% 8.4% 6.5% 9.5% 9.4% 9.4% 10.7% 11.7% 12.5% 12.4% 3.2% 0.1%
Katherine Cox 10.6% 10.8% 9.3% 11.3% 10.6% 11.6% 11.8% 10.7% 7.8% 4.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Aitana Mendiguren 10.5% 12.1% 11.6% 11.8% 9.3% 11.1% 10.1% 9.6% 8.2% 4.7% 1.0% 0.0%
Payton Canavan 5.7% 4.5% 6.1% 5.4% 6.0% 7.8% 7.9% 11.0% 18.0% 18.8% 8.2% 0.6%
Marley Mais 8.8% 10.6% 11.6% 11.2% 12.1% 10.1% 11.1% 9.1% 8.2% 6.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Jessica Bennett 8.3% 10.2% 8.3% 9.1% 11.3% 9.9% 11.0% 12.7% 9.1% 8.7% 1.3% 0.1%
Anna Patterson 3.3% 3.4% 4.1% 5.2% 6.3% 6.7% 8.4% 11.2% 16.0% 24.7% 9.9% 0.8%
Erin Splaine 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 1.5% 2.0% 15.1% 79.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.