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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.91+5.35vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.44+2.98vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.77+1.17vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+1.79vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.80-0.83vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.35-0.83vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.35+0.46vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.25-2.63vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-3.97vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.44-2.69vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia-0.55-0.43vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University-1.93-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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4.98University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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4.17Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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5.79St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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4.17U. S. Naval Academy2.800.2%1st Place
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5.17George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.46Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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5.37Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
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5.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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7.31Fordham University1.440.1%1st Place
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10.57University of Virginia-0.550.0%1st Place
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11.64Syracuse University-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Groble | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Ava Esquier | 10.6% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 17.5% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 15.6% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 16.3% | 23.5% | 8.5% | 0.5% |
| Marley Mais | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 10.6% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Payton Canavan | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 23.0% | 7.2% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Harrington | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 59.8% | 19.5% |
| Erin Splaine | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 15.8% | 79.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.