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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.37+8.94vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.74+2.78vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.93+4.68vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.73+4.21vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida4.17+1.56vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.07+8.55vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.33+2.90vs Predicted
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8Harvard University4.50-2.61vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+2.05vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.67-1.13vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.61-2.12vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.72-3.29vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.44-3.61vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79-6.18vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.68-2.56vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.03-4.78vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.87-5.16vs Predicted
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18University of Miami2.28-4.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.94Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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4.78Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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7.68College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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8.21University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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6.56University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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14.55Salve Regina University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.9U. S. Naval Academy3.330.0%1st Place
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5.39Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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11.05St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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8.87Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.88Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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8.71Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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7.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.1%1st Place
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12.44University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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11.22Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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11.84University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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13.77University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hutchings | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Chris Barnard | 13.5% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Olin Davis | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Zachary Marks | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Robert Keller | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 16.7% | 32.9% |
| Alejandro Ravelo | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Tedd Himler | 13.4% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 3.7% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Eric Horrocks | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Sam Padnos | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Michael Russom | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 11.9% |
| Ian Towill | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% |
| Ben Jassin | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.