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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.97+3.16vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.79+1.64vs Predicted
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3American University-0.61+0.17vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-1.62+1.05vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College-0.52-1.87vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-1.56vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.29-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Princeton University-0.9711.9%1st Place
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3.64Washington College-0.7916.7%1st Place
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3.17American University-0.6121.4%1st Place
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5.05Princeton University-1.626.5%1st Place
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3.13SUNY Maritime College-0.5222.9%1st Place
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4.44SUNY Stony Brook-0.6010.7%1st Place
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4.41University of Delaware-1.299.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evelyn Walsh | 11.9% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 14.7% |
| Imogene Nuss | 16.7% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 7.2% |
| Brooke Lorson | 21.4% | 21.1% | 17.5% | 16.0% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 4.4% |
| Kate Feiner | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 19.9% | 31.9% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 22.9% | 20.9% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 6.9% | 4.2% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 19.9% |
| Seton Dill | 9.9% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 19.7% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.