Race 8A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-championships

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gabby Rizika 15.8% 14.7% 13.4% 13.9% 11.5% 9.9% 8.6% 5.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Bridget Groble 5.3% 9.1% 8.4% 7.7% 8.8% 10.2% 9.9% 12.8% 13.8% 11.6% 2.3% 0.1%
Katherine Cox 11.9% 9.1% 9.7% 10.9% 10.3% 11.0% 11.5% 10.3% 9.5% 5.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Aitana Mendiguren 9.9% 10.7% 12.4% 11.2% 11.3% 10.0% 11.4% 9.1% 8.1% 4.5% 1.4% 0.0%
Anna Patterson 3.6% 4.2% 4.4% 5.6% 6.1% 7.4% 8.8% 10.5% 15.1% 24.3% 9.3% 0.7%
Olivia de Olazarra 16.7% 16.6% 13.1% 12.9% 11.8% 11.1% 6.9% 5.1% 3.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Marley Mais 10.7% 9.5% 10.8% 10.8% 10.9% 10.0% 11.9% 8.9% 8.7% 6.2% 1.6% 0.0%
Ava Esquier 12.9% 12.5% 12.3% 11.2% 9.0% 10.2% 10.4% 10.1% 5.0% 5.5% 0.9% 0.0%
Payton Canavan 3.7% 3.9% 5.6% 5.8% 8.7% 8.2% 8.4% 11.5% 16.6% 22.5% 5.0% 0.1%
Jessica Bennett 8.6% 8.8% 9.0% 9.1% 10.7% 10.3% 9.9% 12.9% 11.8% 7.0% 1.9% 0.0%
Erin Splaine 0.4% 0.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 1.7% 13.6% 81.4%
Elizabeth Harrington 0.5% 0.8% 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 1.4% 1.6% 2.9% 2.5% 8.0% 62.6% 17.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.