Race 10A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ava Esquier 11.5% 10.7% 9.9% 13.3% 11.8% 12.3% 10.0% 8.2% 7.1% 4.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Marley Mais 8.2% 9.6% 11.0% 10.8% 11.7% 10.1% 11.7% 10.9% 9.1% 6.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Jessica Bennett 8.5% 8.2% 8.8% 9.9% 10.2% 9.4% 10.2% 14.3% 10.6% 8.3% 1.6% 0.0%
Katherine Cox 8.8% 11.0% 11.6% 11.8% 10.4% 11.5% 10.0% 10.1% 8.7% 5.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Aitana Mendiguren 10.4% 10.5% 11.3% 12.0% 11.0% 11.0% 9.9% 10.6% 6.7% 6.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Bridget Groble 7.1% 6.7% 8.8% 7.0% 8.5% 10.2% 11.2% 11.5% 14.1% 12.6% 2.2% 0.1%
Payton Canavan 4.8% 5.0% 4.4% 6.2% 7.6% 6.9% 9.1% 11.0% 16.4% 20.6% 7.4% 0.6%
Gabby Rizika 17.7% 15.9% 12.9% 12.2% 10.8% 9.1% 8.8% 6.9% 3.4% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Olivia de Olazarra 17.3% 18.1% 14.8% 11.2% 10.9% 10.9% 7.9% 4.1% 3.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Anna Patterson 4.6% 3.6% 5.3% 5.0% 6.2% 7.2% 9.4% 9.7% 15.5% 24.7% 8.4% 0.4%
Elizabeth Harrington 0.9% 0.5% 0.9% 0.6% 0.7% 1.1% 1.3% 2.1% 3.6% 7.7% 61.0% 19.6%
Erin Splaine 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% 1.4% 16.1% 79.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.