Race 12A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Olivia de Olazarra 16.6% 14.5% 14.6% 12.2% 11.1% 10.0% 9.2% 6.0% 3.5% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Anna Patterson 3.8% 3.4% 3.8% 6.7% 6.1% 6.2% 9.5% 10.3% 17.5% 23.9% 8.4% 0.4%
Katherine Cox 11.5% 9.9% 9.6% 10.7% 9.9% 11.5% 12.1% 10.2% 8.3% 5.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Gabby Rizika 14.9% 16.8% 15.3% 12.1% 11.6% 8.9% 8.1% 6.4% 3.4% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Jessica Bennett 8.4% 9.5% 8.3% 10.3% 10.7% 8.9% 12.1% 10.8% 10.5% 8.8% 1.7% 0.0%
Bridget Groble 7.1% 8.2% 5.8% 7.5% 8.7% 10.6% 11.3% 12.1% 14.1% 11.5% 2.9% 0.2%
Marley Mais 9.9% 11.1% 9.4% 11.0% 11.5% 10.8% 10.3% 10.1% 8.9% 5.6% 1.3% 0.1%
Payton Canavan 5.1% 5.5% 4.8% 5.5% 6.9% 8.1% 7.0% 11.3% 15.3% 22.4% 7.5% 0.6%
Aitana Mendiguren 9.8% 11.2% 14.7% 10.8% 10.5% 11.9% 9.2% 9.0% 8.4% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Elizabeth Harrington 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 1.6% 2.0% 1.9% 1.0% 1.7% 3.1% 9.2% 59.3% 18.8%
Erin Splaine 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 1.5% 15.4% 79.8%
Ava Esquier 12.2% 9.2% 12.9% 11.5% 10.7% 10.9% 9.4% 11.5% 6.6% 4.0% 1.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.