Race 1B

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Julia LaForgia 8.8% 7.9% 10.3% 8.8% 12.8% 11.6% 11.5% 11.1% 9.3% 5.5% 2.3% 0.1%
Brittney Slook 17.3% 19.6% 14.1% 14.2% 10.1% 9.3% 7.2% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Daisy Holthus 18.2% 15.7% 15.3% 11.9% 13.8% 9.9% 6.3% 5.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Morgan Sailer 7.5% 7.4% 8.6% 11.4% 10.3% 11.2% 11.8% 10.7% 9.5% 9.0% 2.4% 0.2%
Amanda Majernik 11.3% 13.4% 13.0% 11.0% 11.7% 10.1% 10.8% 7.6% 6.4% 3.3% 1.4% 0.0%
Sinead McManus 11.9% 12.6% 11.3% 13.0% 11.9% 10.3% 10.5% 8.0% 6.5% 2.9% 1.0% 0.1%
Katherine Bennett 10.1% 9.6% 9.7% 10.2% 9.4% 10.4% 11.8% 11.7% 9.9% 5.4% 1.8% 0.0%
Hannah Pokorny 7.8% 7.8% 7.1% 8.8% 8.1% 10.8% 11.2% 12.4% 12.4% 8.7% 4.6% 0.3%
Emma Sullivan 1.6% 1.6% 3.0% 2.3% 3.0% 5.0% 6.9% 8.3% 13.1% 25.4% 27.7% 2.1%
Emily Key 1.6% 1.3% 2.7% 2.8% 1.9% 3.7% 3.4% 6.7% 12.4% 18.3% 40.8% 4.4%
Caroline Sandoval 3.6% 3.0% 4.7% 5.5% 6.8% 7.4% 8.6% 12.6% 15.4% 17.9% 13.3% 1.2%
Julia Pepin 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.6% 0.5% 1.9% 4.2% 91.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.