Race 2B

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Daisy Holthus 17.3% 16.2% 13.1% 14.7% 13.0% 7.7% 7.7% 5.6% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Amanda Majernik 11.2% 13.5% 12.3% 11.6% 11.4% 11.2% 8.9% 9.7% 6.7% 2.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Hannah Pokorny 7.4% 6.8% 7.0% 8.4% 8.5% 10.3% 11.1% 13.7% 13.7% 9.0% 4.0% 0.1%
Brittney Slook 17.0% 19.0% 16.2% 13.0% 10.4% 9.3% 6.2% 5.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Julia LaForgia 9.7% 8.3% 9.5% 11.6% 11.5% 10.1% 11.3% 9.0% 9.5% 7.2% 2.2% 0.1%
Sinead McManus 11.7% 12.5% 12.4% 11.9% 10.0% 12.7% 11.5% 7.5% 5.9% 3.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Morgan Sailer 9.2% 8.0% 10.4% 8.4% 10.1% 10.4% 12.0% 11.9% 8.6% 8.3% 2.6% 0.1%
Emily Key 1.2% 1.5% 2.1% 3.1% 3.5% 2.9% 4.7% 6.2% 10.9% 18.5% 40.6% 4.8%
Caroline Sandoval 3.6% 3.2% 4.8% 5.8% 7.2% 8.9% 10.1% 12.1% 17.5% 15.7% 10.9% 0.2%
Katherine Bennett 9.1% 9.6% 10.0% 9.1% 10.8% 11.4% 11.0% 11.1% 9.4% 6.3% 2.1% 0.1%
Emma Sullivan 2.3% 1.4% 2.0% 2.0% 3.6% 4.9% 5.1% 7.9% 11.5% 24.7% 31.7% 2.9%
Julia Pepin 0.3% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.7% 2.2% 3.9% 91.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.