Race 3B

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-championships

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Daisy Holthus 16.9% 15.0% 15.8% 14.1% 10.9% 9.4% 8.4% 4.9% 3.1% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Sinead McManus 10.8% 13.7% 11.9% 12.0% 11.9% 10.8% 10.1% 7.9% 6.8% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Amanda Majernik 13.3% 11.5% 11.0% 11.4% 12.5% 9.9% 11.7% 10.0% 6.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Julia LaForgia 7.6% 9.6% 11.2% 10.8% 9.5% 11.4% 11.8% 10.9% 9.1% 6.0% 2.0% 0.1%
Hannah Pokorny 6.4% 7.8% 7.2% 7.5% 10.1% 10.2% 10.9% 12.3% 13.2% 9.8% 4.4% 0.2%
Emily Key 1.6% 1.4% 1.9% 2.2% 3.1% 3.5% 3.3% 6.7% 10.0% 20.1% 42.0% 4.2%
Morgan Sailer 8.9% 9.2% 8.0% 10.1% 10.0% 11.1% 11.1% 11.5% 11.3% 6.6% 2.2% 0.0%
Katherine Bennett 10.8% 8.0% 10.3% 10.4% 9.7% 11.9% 10.3% 10.4% 10.3% 5.3% 2.6% 0.0%
Caroline Sandoval 3.3% 3.8% 4.1% 7.1% 7.5% 7.9% 10.7% 12.5% 15.4% 17.6% 9.7% 0.4%
Brittney Slook 17.8% 18.4% 16.4% 11.4% 12.3% 8.7% 6.5% 4.6% 2.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Emma Sullivan 2.3% 1.6% 1.9% 2.8% 2.4% 5.0% 5.1% 7.7% 11.3% 24.6% 32.5% 2.8%
Julia Pepin 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.6% 0.9% 1.6% 3.4% 92.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.