Race 4B

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sinead McManus 12.4% 10.7% 10.9% 13.4% 11.5% 12.0% 9.8% 8.7% 6.9% 2.4% 1.3% 0.0%
Brittney Slook 17.6% 18.1% 15.3% 14.4% 10.6% 9.3% 7.3% 4.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan Sailer 8.6% 6.8% 8.9% 9.4% 9.2% 11.6% 11.5% 12.5% 12.3% 6.7% 2.3% 0.2%
Julia LaForgia 8.0% 9.6% 11.2% 11.3% 10.8% 11.6% 10.0% 10.9% 8.6% 6.3% 1.5% 0.2%
Daisy Holthus 17.4% 19.0% 13.9% 11.8% 11.6% 8.8% 7.4% 5.3% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Katherine Bennett 8.4% 9.6% 9.2% 10.2% 10.8% 13.0% 10.9% 9.0% 10.3% 5.7% 2.7% 0.2%
Hannah Pokorny 7.2% 7.7% 7.6% 9.2% 9.0% 8.6% 12.1% 13.0% 11.7% 10.2% 3.6% 0.1%
Caroline Sandoval 5.5% 3.8% 4.7% 5.8% 8.0% 5.9% 9.4% 11.5% 14.6% 18.1% 11.4% 1.3%
Emily Key 1.3% 1.4% 1.7% 1.6% 2.9% 2.8% 4.6% 8.4% 10.9% 20.0% 41.4% 3.0%
Emma Sullivan 1.9% 2.7% 2.7% 2.6% 3.6% 4.3% 5.8% 7.6% 12.3% 23.7% 29.8% 3.0%
Amanda Majernik 11.4% 10.5% 13.8% 10.1% 11.8% 11.8% 10.7% 8.5% 6.7% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
Julia Pepin 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.7% 1.5% 4.4% 91.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.