Race 5B

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Brittney Slook 17.8% 16.3% 16.0% 14.2% 11.6% 8.7% 7.4% 3.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Amanda Majernik 11.2% 12.8% 11.6% 12.4% 12.2% 11.5% 9.4% 9.7% 5.4% 3.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Morgan Sailer 9.0% 6.8% 9.8% 8.3% 10.0% 10.1% 11.8% 13.2% 11.7% 7.1% 2.1% 0.1%
Julia LaForgia 7.5% 9.8% 9.7% 11.8% 11.2% 10.3% 12.8% 9.5% 10.2% 5.1% 1.9% 0.2%
Caroline Sandoval 3.7% 4.9% 4.5% 4.9% 7.3% 8.1% 9.5% 10.7% 16.4% 18.9% 10.7% 0.4%
Hannah Pokorny 7.4% 5.7% 8.8% 7.1% 7.2% 11.9% 11.0% 13.7% 13.5% 9.9% 3.7% 0.1%
Sinead McManus 12.3% 13.5% 11.4% 12.3% 10.8% 12.0% 10.5% 7.1% 6.4% 2.4% 1.3% 0.0%
Daisy Holthus 19.8% 17.0% 13.2% 12.0% 11.1% 9.1% 8.0% 5.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Katherine Bennett 7.5% 9.4% 11.2% 11.9% 11.6% 11.1% 11.3% 11.1% 7.9% 5.9% 1.1% 0.0%
Emily Key 1.7% 2.2% 2.1% 2.4% 2.5% 2.7% 3.8% 7.3% 10.2% 20.0% 43.8% 1.3%
Emma Sullivan 1.9% 1.6% 1.6% 2.6% 4.3% 4.4% 4.4% 8.1% 12.7% 24.5% 31.7% 2.2%
Bridget Patterson 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.9% 2.3% 95.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.