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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University-0.61+2.19vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.79+1.56vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+1.50vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.97+0.15vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.29-0.51vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.52-2.89vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-1.62-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19American University-0.6121.1%1st Place
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3.56Washington College-0.7917.1%1st Place
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4.5SUNY Stony Brook-0.6010.7%1st Place
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4.15Princeton University-0.9711.9%1st Place
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4.49University of Delaware-1.299.5%1st Place
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3.11SUNY Maritime College-0.5222.9%1st Place
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5.0Princeton University-1.626.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Lorson | 21.1% | 19.4% | 18.8% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 3.5% |
| Imogene Nuss | 17.1% | 17.5% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 5.9% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 19.5% | 20.3% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 11.9% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 15.2% |
| Seton Dill | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 17.9% | 19.4% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 22.9% | 20.2% | 18.6% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 3.4% |
| Kate Feiner | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 18.2% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.