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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.44+8.72vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+9.40vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.72+5.65vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida4.17+2.55vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.37+4.77vs Predicted
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6Harvard University4.50-0.57vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79+1.13vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University4.74-3.30vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.57-0.02vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.73-1.34vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.61-2.04vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.87+0.18vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.07+1.39vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.67-5.63vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.93-7.51vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.68-3.40vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.03-5.72vs Predicted
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18University of Miami2.28-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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11.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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8.65Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.55University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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9.77Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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5.43Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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8.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.1%1st Place
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4.7Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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8.98Yale University3.570.0%1st Place
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8.66University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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8.96Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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12.18University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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14.39Salve Regina University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.37Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.49College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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12.6University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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11.28Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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13.75University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Horrocks | 3.5% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| John Wallace | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.3% |
| Oliver Toole | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Marks | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| William Hutchings | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Tedd Himler | 12.8% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Padnos | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Chris Barnard | 15.8% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Nickbarg | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Olin Davis | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Hughes | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.3% |
| Robert Keller | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 33.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Michael Russom | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 12.6% |
| Ian Towill | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 5.1% |
| Ben Jassin | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.