Race 6B

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Amanda Majernik 12.3% 10.0% 11.3% 14.0% 12.9% 10.4% 10.2% 9.7% 5.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.0%
Morgan Sailer 6.9% 8.2% 9.4% 9.5% 10.6% 11.7% 10.0% 12.5% 11.8% 6.6% 2.7% 0.1%
Julia LaForgia 9.7% 7.6% 10.6% 10.6% 10.5% 10.4% 12.7% 11.5% 9.6% 5.2% 1.5% 0.1%
Daisy Holthus 16.8% 17.3% 15.5% 12.4% 11.8% 8.9% 7.0% 6.1% 2.9% 1.2% 0.0% 0.1%
Brittney Slook 18.4% 18.8% 15.4% 12.5% 12.6% 7.6% 6.4% 3.4% 3.9% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Hannah Pokorny 6.0% 6.5% 8.6% 8.2% 8.8% 11.2% 11.4% 11.9% 14.1% 8.8% 4.1% 0.4%
Caroline Sandoval 4.3% 5.3% 5.0% 5.4% 5.5% 9.5% 9.2% 10.1% 15.0% 18.4% 11.8% 0.5%
Sinead McManus 13.5% 13.3% 10.7% 12.1% 10.9% 11.9% 10.5% 7.7% 5.2% 3.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Emily Key 1.5% 1.3% 1.6% 2.3% 1.9% 3.6% 4.9% 6.6% 10.4% 22.5% 42.0% 1.4%
Emma Sullivan 1.9% 2.8% 3.0% 2.4% 3.5% 5.4% 4.6% 8.5% 11.7% 24.2% 30.8% 1.2%
Katherine Bennett 8.5% 8.8% 8.8% 10.5% 10.9% 9.4% 12.7% 11.9% 9.8% 6.2% 2.3% 0.2%
Bridget Patterson 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 2.2% 96.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.