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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.51+5.42vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+3.15vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.69+2.94vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.06+5.35vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.83+0.52vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.11-1.13vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.00+0.41vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia0.32+0.77vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.12-4.29vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.56-6.14vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.50-6.87vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University-3.33-0.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
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5.15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.1%1st Place
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5.94Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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9.35Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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5.52George Washington University1.830.1%1st Place
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4.87University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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7.41Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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8.77University of Virginia0.320.0%1st Place
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4.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.120.1%1st Place
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3.86U. S. Naval Academy2.560.2%1st Place
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4.13Cornell University2.500.2%1st Place
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11.87Syracuse University-3.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Pokorny | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 0.2% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 8.7% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Sailer | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Emily Key | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 20.2% | 43.1% | 2.0% |
| Julia LaForgia | 9.3% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Majernik | 12.1% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 19.9% | 10.1% | 0.3% |
| Emma Sullivan | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 22.8% | 31.1% | 1.9% |
| Sinead McManus | 11.7% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 19.1% | 17.4% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 16.1% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Patterson | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 95.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.