Race 8B

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Daisy Holthus 17.5% 14.7% 14.3% 14.4% 11.1% 10.1% 7.4% 5.7% 2.9% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Gloria Kevliciute 9.4% 12.0% 11.2% 10.2% 12.8% 11.9% 9.1% 11.2% 7.7% 3.6% 0.9% 0.0%
Brittney Slook 20.1% 14.4% 14.8% 12.6% 12.9% 9.5% 7.7% 4.9% 2.1% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sinead McManus 9.4% 14.1% 12.5% 11.5% 12.0% 10.7% 9.7% 9.0% 6.9% 3.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Caroline Sandoval 3.4% 4.1% 4.9% 5.1% 7.0% 8.1% 8.3% 11.1% 16.7% 18.6% 12.3% 0.4%
Amanda Majernik 11.9% 12.3% 10.0% 12.6% 11.7% 12.1% 9.0% 9.7% 6.8% 3.1% 0.8% 0.0%
Morgan Sailer 8.6% 8.3% 9.3% 8.8% 9.1% 10.0% 12.1% 13.3% 11.2% 6.2% 3.0% 0.1%
Julia LaForgia 9.9% 10.0% 10.7% 8.9% 10.4% 9.6% 12.3% 9.7% 10.2% 6.5% 1.8% 0.0%
Hannah Pokorny 5.9% 5.9% 8.2% 10.7% 7.9% 11.6% 11.8% 13.4% 11.7% 9.8% 3.1% 0.0%
Emma Sullivan 2.2% 2.6% 3.0% 2.7% 3.2% 2.8% 7.3% 7.0% 14.4% 22.6% 31.2% 1.0%
Emily Key 1.6% 1.5% 1.0% 2.3% 1.8% 3.6% 5.2% 4.9% 9.1% 22.6% 43.5% 2.9%
Bridget Patterson 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.9% 2.6% 95.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.