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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.50+3.08vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.56+1.84vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.11+1.89vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.69+1.96vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.51+1.30vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.83-0.43vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.12-2.24vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-2.95vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.00-1.58vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.06-0.75vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia0.32-1.99vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University-3.33-0.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08Cornell University2.500.2%1st Place
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3.84U. S. Naval Academy2.560.2%1st Place
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4.89University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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5.96Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.3Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
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5.57George Washington University1.830.1%1st Place
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4.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.120.1%1st Place
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5.05St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.1%1st Place
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7.42Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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9.25Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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9.01University of Virginia0.320.0%1st Place
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11.89Syracuse University-3.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daisy Holthus | 16.2% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 18.4% | 18.3% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Majernik | 12.6% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Sailer | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 4.4% | 0.1% |
| Julia LaForgia | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Sinead McManus | 12.7% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 12.1% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 9.7% | 0.2% |
| Emily Key | 1.7% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 19.0% | 43.9% | 1.3% |
| Emma Sullivan | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 13.0% | 25.7% | 31.3% | 2.3% |
| Bridget Patterson | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 2.4% | 95.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.