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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.11+3.96vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.12+2.86vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.50+1.00vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.69+1.96vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.83+0.58vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.51+0.34vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.00+0.45vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-2.92vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.56-5.28vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia0.32-1.25vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.06-1.58vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University-3.33-0.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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4.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.120.1%1st Place
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4.0Cornell University2.500.2%1st Place
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5.96Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.58George Washington University1.830.1%1st Place
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6.34Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
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7.45Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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5.08St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.1%1st Place
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3.72U. S. Naval Academy2.560.2%1st Place
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8.75University of Virginia0.320.0%1st Place
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9.42Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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11.88Syracuse University-3.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Majernik | 11.7% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sinead McManus | 10.3% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 18.0% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Sailer | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Julia LaForgia | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 3.9% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 15.9% | 18.7% | 11.9% | 0.3% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 19.1% | 18.3% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Sullivan | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 23.6% | 30.4% | 1.0% |
| Emily Key | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 21.4% | 43.2% | 3.0% |
| Bridget Patterson | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 2.9% | 95.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.