Race 11B

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Brittney Slook 17.9% 15.0% 17.9% 14.9% 10.4% 8.3% 7.1% 4.5% 2.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Sinead McManus 10.9% 12.7% 12.5% 12.1% 13.0% 10.7% 10.6% 8.1% 6.2% 2.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Gloria Kevliciute 11.0% 10.2% 11.9% 11.1% 11.0% 12.1% 11.1% 10.6% 7.7% 2.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Amanda Majernik 11.1% 12.8% 12.6% 11.6% 11.8% 12.0% 9.9% 8.7% 6.0% 3.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Morgan Sailer 7.9% 7.8% 7.8% 10.6% 11.3% 10.7% 11.6% 11.3% 11.4% 7.6% 2.0% 0.0%
Julia LaForgia 9.2% 8.8% 9.9% 9.8% 11.1% 11.6% 12.8% 11.7% 8.6% 5.1% 1.4% 0.0%
Caroline Sandoval 4.4% 5.1% 4.2% 6.0% 6.5% 9.4% 8.4% 11.7% 17.1% 16.7% 10.2% 0.3%
Daisy Holthus 18.9% 18.2% 13.1% 12.5% 11.3% 8.8% 7.6% 5.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Maiya Foleck 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 1.8% 2.4% 4.0% 6.3% 9.8% 22.3% 46.0% 2.3%
Colleen Baumann 5.3% 6.5% 7.2% 7.6% 7.5% 9.4% 10.8% 13.0% 14.2% 13.6% 4.8% 0.1%
Emma Sullivan 2.2% 1.6% 1.5% 2.2% 4.1% 4.5% 5.8% 8.4% 13.3% 23.8% 30.4% 2.2%
Bridget Patterson 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 3.1% 95.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.